OddsDrift (bot) avatar

OddsDrift (bot)

Automated tracker of prediction-market odds: the biggest 24h swings, upsets at settlement, a daily midterms board, and a weekly calibration scorecard. Data from the public Kalshi and Polymarket APIs. Not affiliated. Not investment advice.

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OddsDrift (bot) posts

OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Sep 28, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will MrBeast Gaming's next video… → YES · was 3¢ ~24h before · $14k
UPSET · K · Will the maximum temperature be >… → YES · was 9¢ ~24h before · $23k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 238
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will MrBeast Gaming's next video… → YES · was 3¢ ~24h before · $14k
UPSET · K · Will the maximum temperature be >… → YES · was 9¢ ~24h before · $23k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 238
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 26, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will Xiaomi have the best C… 1¢→87¢ (+86) · $35k
K · Top Chinese AI Company week… 2¢→90¢ (+88) · $13k
K · Top Chinese AI Company week… 1¢→90¢ (+89) · $5k
K · Top Chinese AI Company this… 2¢→84¢ (+82) · $8k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will Xiaomi have the best C… 1¢→87¢ (+86) · $35k
K · Top Chinese AI Company week… 2¢→90¢ (+88) · $13k
K · Top Chinese AI Company week… 1¢→90¢ (+89) · $5k
K · Top Chinese AI Company this… 2¢→84¢ (+82) · $8k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 19, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Trump x Greenland deal signed by De… 15¢→96¢ (+81) · $161k
K · Will Trump say "Third Term" before… 6¢→99¢ (+93) · $9k
P · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8t… 22¢→94¢ (+72) · $18k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Trump x Greenland deal signed by De… 15¢→96¢ (+81) · $161k
K · Will Trump say "Third Term" before… 6¢→99¢ (+93) · $9k
P · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8t… 22¢→94¢ (+72) · $18k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 18, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be above… 3¢→79¢ (+76) · $63k
K · Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obam… 19¢→99¢ (+80) · $12k
P · US x Iran ceasefire continues throu… 34¢→96¢ (+62) · $15k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be above… 3¢→79¢ (+76) · $63k
K · Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obam… 19¢→99¢ (+80) · $12k
P · US x Iran ceasefire continues throu… 34¢→96¢ (+62) · $15k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 11, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will the copper close price… 93¢→2¢ (-91) · $7k
P · Will the price of Ethereum… 25¢→94¢ (+69) · $13k
P · Will "Hope" Opening Weekend… 42¢→97¢ (+55) · $41k
P · Will the price of Ethereum… 29¢→89¢ (+60) · $11k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will the copper close price… 93¢→2¢ (-91) · $7k
P · Will the price of Ethereum… 25¢→94¢ (+69) · $13k
P · Will "Hope" Opening Weekend… 42¢→97¢ (+55) · $41k
P · Will the price of Ethereum… 29¢→89¢ (+60) · $11k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 10, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Elaine Pelino be the Republica… 81¢→1¢ (-80) · $84k
P · Will an AI lab announce another Mil… 6¢→66¢ (+60) · $33k
P · Will OpenAI announce another Millen… 10¢→67¢ (+57) · $23k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Elaine Pelino be the Republica… 81¢→1¢ (-80) · $84k
P · Will an AI lab announce another Mil… 6¢→66¢ (+60) · $33k
P · Will OpenAI announce another Millen… 10¢→67¢ (+57) · $23k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 8, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Practical Magic 2 Rotten To… 66¢→5¢ (-61) · $21k
K · Will average **gas prices**… 15¢→68¢ (+53) · $7k
P · Trump declassifies new UFO… 69¢→22¢ (-47) · $11k
K · Will the minimum temperatur… 51¢→1¢ (-50) · $7k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Practical Magic 2 Rotten To… 66¢→5¢ (-61) · $21k
K · Will average **gas prices**… 15¢→68¢ (+53) · $7k
P · Trump declassifies new UFO… 69¢→22¢ (-47) · $11k
K · Will the minimum temperatur… 51¢→1¢ (-50) · $7k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Sep 6, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 an… → YES · was 6¢ ~24h before · $40k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000… → NO · was 2¢ ~24h before · $120k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 214
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 an… → YES · was 6¢ ~24h before · $40k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000… → NO · was 2¢ ~24h before · $120k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 214
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Sep 5, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $192k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 42¢ ~24h before · $125k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 4¢ ~24h before · $98k
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $192k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 42¢ ~24h before · $125k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 4¢ ~24h before · $98k
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 5, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will inflation in Brazil be below 4… 5¢→98¢ (+93) · $39k
P · Israel closes its airspace by Septe… 10¢→73¢ (+63) · $591k
K · Will Trump say "Who are you with /… 11¢→99¢ (+88) · $9k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will inflation in Brazil be below 4… 5¢→98¢ (+93) · $39k
P · Israel closes its airspace by Septe… 10¢→73¢ (+63) · $591k
K · Will Trump say "Who are you with /… 11¢→99¢ (+88) · $9k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 4, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Onslaught Rotten Tomatoes score? —… 95¢→7¢ (-88) · $28k
K · What states will redistrict before… 90¢→17¢ (-73) · $26k
K · Will Democratic win the House race… 21¢→84¢ (+63) · $18k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Onslaught Rotten Tomatoes score? —… 95¢→7¢ (-88) · $28k
K · What states will redistrict before… 90¢→17¢ (-73) · $26k
K · Will Democratic win the House race… 21¢→84¢ (+63) · $18k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 3, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? — $79… 16¢→82¢ (+66) · $67k
P · Will any AI model reach 1520 Overal… 14¢→86¢ (+72) · $24k
P · Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 3… 8¢→68¢ (+60) · $74k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Bitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026? — $79… 16¢→82¢ (+66) · $67k
P · Will any AI model reach 1520 Overal… 14¢→86¢ (+72) · $24k
P · Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 3… 8¢→68¢ (+60) · $74k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Sep 2, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Trump endorse at least 15 peop… 10¢→99¢ (+89) · $8k
P · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be releas… 11¢→82¢ (+71) · $45k
P · Will Iran target Iraq by September… 29¢→98¢ (+69) · $21k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Trump endorse at least 15 peop… 10¢→99¢ (+89) · $8k
P · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be releas… 11¢→82¢ (+71) · $45k
P · Will Iran target Iraq by September… 29¢→98¢ (+69) · $21k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 27, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be betw… → YES · was 9¢ ~24h before · $14k
UPSET · P · Will MrBeast's next video get bet… → YES · was 10¢ ~24h before · $13k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 128
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be betw… → YES · was 9¢ ~24h before · $14k
UPSET · P · Will MrBeast's next video get bet… → YES · was 10¢ ~24h before · $13k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 128
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 26, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will the margin of victory for Darl… 14¢→99¢ (+85) · $237k
P · Will Tropical Storm Saudel make lan… 81¢→3¢ (-78) · $50k
K · Will the total vote count for all p… 33¢→99¢ (+66) · $127k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will the margin of victory for Darl… 14¢→99¢ (+85) · $237k
P · Will Tropical Storm Saudel make lan… 81¢→3¢ (-78) · $50k
K · Will the total vote count for all p… 33¢→99¢ (+66) · $127k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 25, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · K · Will Taylor Swift have above 14M… → NO · was 99¢ ~24h before · $12k
K · Will it rain in Phoenix on Aug 24… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $310k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 108
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · K · Will Taylor Swift have above 14M… → NO · was 99¢ ~24h before · $12k
K · Will it rain in Phoenix on Aug 24… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $310k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 108
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 25, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will the price of Solana be above $… 50¢→98¢ (+48) · $37k
P · Kanye West performs in Russia by Oc… 74¢→30¢ (-44) · $23k
K · The Dog Stars Rotten Tomatoes score… 65¢→19¢ (-46) · $6k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will the price of Solana be above $… 50¢→98¢ (+48) · $37k
P · Kanye West performs in Russia by Oc… 74¢→30¢ (-44) · $23k
K · The Dog Stars Rotten Tomatoes score… 65¢→19¢ (-46) · $6k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 24, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
P · Will Bitcoin reach $80,00… → YES · was 61¢ ~24h before · $341k
K · Will Trump say "JD / Vanc… → YES · was 94¢ ~24h before · $321k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin… → YES · was 95¢ ~24h before · $199k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
P · Will Bitcoin reach $80,00… → YES · was 61¢ ~24h before · $341k
K · Will Trump say "JD / Vanc… → YES · was 94¢ ~24h before · $321k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin… → YES · was 95¢ ~24h before · $199k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 24, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will it rain in Phoenix on… 18¢→99¢ (+81) · $86k
K · What will Joe Manchin say d… 87¢→1¢ (-86) · $5k
P · Houthis successfully target… 40¢→86¢ (+46) · $16k
P · Will the total domestic gro… 8¢→40¢ (+32) · $13k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will it rain in Phoenix on… 18¢→99¢ (+81) · $86k
K · What will Joe Manchin say d… 87¢→1¢ (-86) · $5k
P · Houthis successfully target… 40¢→86¢ (+46) · $16k
P · Will the total domestic gro… 8¢→40¢ (+32) · $13k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 23, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · K · Will Donald Trump make between 22… → YES · was 9¢ ~24h before · $16k
UPSET · K · Will Donald Trump make above 240… → NO · was 88¢ ~24h before · $13k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 102
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · K · Will Donald Trump make between 22… → YES · was 9¢ ~24h before · $16k
UPSET · K · Will Donald Trump make above 240… → NO · was 88¢ ~24h before · $13k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 102
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 22, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will XRP reach $1.60 in August? → YES · was 7¢ ~24h before · $15k
UPSET · P · Israel military action against Sy… → YES · was 10¢ ~24h before · $32k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 99
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will XRP reach $1.60 in August? → YES · was 7¢ ~24h before · $15k
UPSET · P · Israel military action against Sy… → YES · was 10¢ ~24h before · $32k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 99
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 21, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August… → YES · was 1¢ ~24h before · $103k
UPSET · K · Will the maximum temperature be 7… → YES · was 1¢ ~24h before · $16k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 92
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August… → YES · was 1¢ ~24h before · $103k
UPSET · K · Will the maximum temperature be 7… → YES · was 1¢ ~24h before · $16k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 92
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 21, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will BTC trimmed mean be above $775… 24¢→99¢ (+75) · $250k
K · What will Sanjay Mehrotra say durin… 20¢→99¢ (+79) · $14k
P · Will the price of XRP be above $1.3… 9¢→91¢ (+82) · $11k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will BTC trimmed mean be above $775… 24¢→99¢ (+75) · $250k
K · What will Sanjay Mehrotra say durin… 20¢→99¢ (+79) · $14k
P · Will the price of XRP be above $1.3… 9¢→91¢ (+82) · $11k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 20, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $440k
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $257k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 67
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $440k
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $257k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 67
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 20, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will Bitcoin reach $72,500… 4¢→82¢ (+78) · $510k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin b… 2¢→96¢ (+94) · $47k
K · Ethereum price at Aug 21, 2… 1¢→95¢ (+94) · $42k
Largest 24h swing in 30 days: +96
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will Bitcoin reach $72,500… 4¢→82¢ (+78) · $510k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin b… 2¢→96¢ (+94) · $47k
K · Ethereum price at Aug 21, 2… 1¢→95¢ (+94) · $42k
Largest 24h swing in 30 days: +96
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 19, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be betw… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $24k
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $584k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 43
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be betw… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $24k
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 0¢ ~24h before · $584k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 43
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 19, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Byron Donalds receive… 80¢→1¢ (-79) · $61k
K · Will Dan Bilzerian receive… 10¢→99¢ (+89) · $14k
P · Will Russia capture Kostyan… 20¢→94¢ (+74) · $93k
Largest 24h swing in 30 days: +94
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Byron Donalds receive… 80¢→1¢ (-79) · $61k
K · Will Dan Bilzerian receive… 10¢→99¢ (+89) · $14k
P · Will Russia capture Kostyan… 20¢→94¢ (+74) · $93k
Largest 24h swing in 30 days: +94
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 17, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be betw… → YES · was 10¢ ~24h before · $28k
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 12¢ ~24h before · $282k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 5
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be betw… → YES · was 10¢ ~24h before · $28k
UPSET · P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 12¢ ~24h before · $282k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 5
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 17, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Conversations with a K… 5¢→95¢ (+90) · $29k
P · Will "Conversations with a… 4¢→96¢ (+92) · $19k
K · Will WILD by KATSEYE have a… 18¢→81¢ (+63) · $6k
Largest 24h swing in 30 days: +92
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
K · Will Conversations with a K… 5¢→95¢ (+90) · $29k
P · Will "Conversations with a… 4¢→96¢ (+92) · $19k
K · Will WILD by KATSEYE have a… 18¢→81¢ (+63) · $6k
Largest 24h swing in 30 days: +92
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Aug 16, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 3¢ ~24h before · $157k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 97¢ ~24h before · $143k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $141k
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
Settled in the last 24h
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → NO · was 3¢ ~24h before · $157k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 97¢ ~24h before · $143k
P · Will the price of Bitcoin be abov… → YES · was 99¢ ~24h before · $141k
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket
OddsDrift (bot)

Biggest odds swings — Aug 16, 2026

Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles… 5¢→92¢ (+88) · $19k
K · Will Conversations with a Killer: The Charles M… 6¢→91¢ (+85) · $24k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket
Biggest odds swings, last 24h
P · Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles… 5¢→92¢ (+88) · $19k
K · Will Conversations with a Killer: The Charles M… 6¢→91¢ (+85) · $24k
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket