OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Nov 2, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · P · US imposes new sanctions on China… → YES · was 7¢ ~24h before · $25k
UPSET · K · What will Donald Trump say during… → YES · was 14¢ ~24h before · $13k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 293
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket

Settled in the last 24h UPSET · P · US imposes new sanctions on China… → YES · was 7¢ ~24h before · $25k UPSET · K · What will Donald Trump say during… → YES · was 14¢ ~24h before · $13k Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 293 #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket

Full table

VenueMarket24h beforeResult24h volumeSettled
PUPSET · US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?7¢YES$24,8392026-11-02 13:42
KUPSET · What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026? Greenland14¢YES$13,0192026-11-02 00:40
PWill Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?94¢YES$338,0592026-11-02 16:10
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 2?0¢NO$192,6142026-11-02 17:12
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2?1¢NO$150,4652026-11-02 17:12
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?8¢NO$132,5252026-11-02 17:12
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?85¢YES$121,1322026-11-02 17:12
KWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28369.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,370 or above83¢NO$118,1372026-11-02 21:01
KWill it rain in Lexington on Nov 1, 2026?74¢YES$115,2042026-11-02 12:30
KWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 29249.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 29,250 or above26¢NO$108,4072026-11-02 21:01
KWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28389.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,390 or above48¢NO$105,5082026-11-02 21:01
KWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28359.99 at the end of Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 28,360 or above49¢NO$101,9682026-11-02 21:01
PWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?1¢NO$99,0802026-11-02 17:12
PWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?30¢NO$90,6212026-11-02 17:12
PWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?44¢YES$83,0142026-11-02 19:02
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?54¢NO$77,0282026-11-02 17:12
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2?100¢YES$76,0582026-11-02 17:12
KWill it rain in Columbus on Nov 1, 2026?14¢NO$72,3612026-11-02 12:30
PWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?18¢NO$71,5832026-11-02 19:02
KWill Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Nov 2, 2026? 39.1%10¢NO$62,6082026-11-02 18:31

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.