OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Settled & surprised — Oct 5, 2026

Settled in the last 24h
UPSET · K · Will the maximum temperature be 8… → YES · was 11¢ ~24h before · $21k
P · Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026… → NO · was 0¢ ~24h before · $724k
Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 233
#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket

Settled in the last 24h UPSET · K · Will the maximum temperature be 8… → YES · was 11¢ ~24h before · $21k P · Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026… → NO · was 0¢ ~24h before · $724k Upsets (≤15¢ or ≥85¢ the day before) in 30 days: 233 #PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #Polymarket

Full table

VenueMarket24h beforeResult24h volumeSettled
KUPSET · Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 4, 2026? 83° to 84°11¢YES$21,2852026-10-05 14:12
PWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢NO$723,6802026-10-05 14:15
PWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?61¢NO$468,7922026-10-05 03:40
PWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?38¢YES$233,9242026-10-05 03:40
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?100¢YES$223,0332026-10-05 16:13
PWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢NO$162,0232026-10-05 13:02
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?72¢YES$152,2252026-10-05 16:13
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?3¢NO$141,5472026-10-05 16:13
KWill Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 5, 2026?5¢NO$126,0182026-10-05 15:35
KWill the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,785 or above25¢NO$125,1742026-10-05 23:01
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?97¢YES$117,1092026-10-05 16:13
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?26¢NO$111,8862026-10-05 16:13
KWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 31049.99 at the end of Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 31,050 or above22¢YES$105,1872026-10-05 20:01
KWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 31089.99 at the end of Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 31,090 or above18¢NO$100,7132026-10-05 20:01
KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43¢YES$92,0892026-10-05 11:51
KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62¢NO$91,7722026-10-05 11:51
KWill Trump say "Nobel" before Oct 5, 2026?18¢NO$88,3772026-10-05 15:35
KWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3800? Above 4.380011¢NO$80,8472026-10-05 12:50
KDigger Rotten Tomatoes score? Above 5210¢NO$79,6052026-10-05 15:08
PWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?1¢NO$72,6492026-10-05 16:13

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.