OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 45, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 45
Resolved: 2140 K, 781 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 433/444 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 21/1118 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.088 · P 0.094 (running K 0.115 · P 0.097)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 45 Resolved: 2140 K, 781 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 433/444 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 21/1118 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.088 · P 0.094 (running K 0.115 · P 0.097) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢1118212%
10-20¢3012910%
20-30¢2284118%
30-40¢1755833%
40-50¢1607446%
50-60¢1225243%
60-70¢1289070%
70-80¢1098073%
80-90¢13612390%
90-100¢44443398%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.