OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 44, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 44
Resolved: 1893 K, 675 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 280/312 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 51/929 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.135 · P 0.128 (running K 0.119 · P 0.098)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 44 Resolved: 1893 K, 675 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 280/312 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 51/929 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.135 · P 0.128 (running K 0.119 · P 0.098) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢929515%
10-20¢2513213%
20-30¢2095727%
30-40¢1777945%
40-50¢1638049%
50-60¢1307457%
60-70¢1449667%
70-80¢1077772%
80-90¢14611780%
90-100¢31228090%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.