OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 43, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 43
Resolved: 1743 K, 405 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 305/313 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 26/821 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.117 · P 0.112 (running K 0.117 · P 0.092)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 43 Resolved: 1743 K, 405 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 305/313 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 26/821 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.117 · P 0.112 (running K 0.117 · P 0.092) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢821263%
10-20¢1743218%
20-30¢1514328%
30-40¢1416143%
40-50¢1335441%
50-60¢1327255%
60-70¢1126861%
70-80¢825972%
80-90¢896775%
90-100¢31330597%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.