OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 42, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 42
Resolved: 1752 K, 281 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 259/267 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 19/751 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.110 · P 0.081 (running K 0.117 · P 0.090)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 42 Resolved: 1752 K, 281 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 259/267 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 19/751 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.110 · P 0.081 (running K 0.117 · P 0.090) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢751193%
10-20¢2123316%
20-30¢1703722%
30-40¢1546240%
40-50¢1175345%
50-60¢1176455%
60-70¢916774%
70-80¢695478%
80-90¢857588%
90-100¢26725997%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.