OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 41, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 41
Resolved: 1839 K, 387 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 270/276 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 27/975 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.094 · P 0.106 (running K 0.118 · P 0.091)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 41 Resolved: 1839 K, 387 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 270/276 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 27/975 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.094 · P 0.106 (running K 0.118 · P 0.091) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢975273%
10-20¢2223214%
20-30¢1784726%
30-40¢1224234%
40-50¢1105146%
50-60¢1006464%
60-70¢947074%
70-80¢735778%
80-90¢766180%
90-100¢27627098%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.