OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 40, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 40
Resolved: 2041 K, 385 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 316/327 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 27/1033 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.103 · P 0.055 (running K 0.121 · P 0.088)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 40 Resolved: 2041 K, 385 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 316/327 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 27/1033 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.103 · P 0.055 (running K 0.121 · P 0.088) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢1033273%
10-20¢216209%
20-30¢2205425%
30-40¢1545636%
40-50¢1264939%
50-60¢944952%
60-70¢855464%
70-80¢684871%
80-90¢1038683%
90-100¢32731697%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.