OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 39, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 39
Resolved: 1552 K, 395 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 284/290 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 16/659 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.120 · P 0.089 (running K 0.125 · P 0.095)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 39 Resolved: 1552 K, 395 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 284/290 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 16/659 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.120 · P 0.089 (running K 0.125 · P 0.095) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢659162%
10-20¢2253817%
20-30¢1484430%
30-40¢1646238%
40-50¢1336650%
50-60¢773242%
60-70¢784558%
70-80¢715476%
80-90¢1028785%
90-100¢29028498%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.