OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 38, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 38
Resolved: 1772 K, 330 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 252/257 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 37/812 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.123 · P 0.072 (running K 0.126 · P 0.097)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 38 Resolved: 1772 K, 330 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 252/257 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 37/812 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.123 · P 0.072 (running K 0.126 · P 0.097) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢812375%
10-20¢2604116%
20-30¢1483725%
30-40¢1374533%
40-50¢1387051%
50-60¢1145447%
60-70¢704463%
70-80¢805468%
80-90¢867486%
90-100¢25725298%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.