Calibration scorecard — week 37, 2026
Calibration scorecard, week 37
Resolved: 1665 K, 298 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 204/214 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 12/646 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.129 · P 0.088 (running K 0.127 · P 0.103)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets
PredictionMarkets
Full table
| Priced (24h before) | n | Resolved YES | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10¢ | 646 | 12 | 2% |
| 10-20¢ | 205 | 40 | 20% |
| 20-30¢ | 186 | 49 | 26% |
| 30-40¢ | 173 | 59 | 34% |
| 40-50¢ | 161 | 66 | 41% |
| 50-60¢ | 117 | 77 | 66% |
| 60-70¢ | 95 | 66 | 69% |
| 70-80¢ | 73 | 52 | 71% |
| 80-90¢ | 93 | 79 | 85% |
| 90-100¢ | 214 | 204 | 95% |