OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 36, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 36
Resolved: 1630 K, 371 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 246/253 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 30/734 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.126 · P 0.075 (running K 0.126 · P 0.107)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 36 Resolved: 1630 K, 371 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 246/253 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 30/734 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.126 · P 0.075 (running K 0.126 · P 0.107) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢734304%
10-20¢2093215%
20-30¢1895328%
30-40¢1515536%
40-50¢1165749%
50-60¢924953%
60-70¢804860%
70-80¢946973%
80-90¢837489%
90-100¢25324697%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.