OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 35, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 35
Resolved: 1548 K, 255 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 257/270 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 14/606 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.121 · P 0.064 (running K 0.126 · P 0.128)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 35 Resolved: 1548 K, 255 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 257/270 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 14/606 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.121 · P 0.064 (running K 0.126 · P 0.128) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢606142%
10-20¢1802614%
20-30¢1504027%
30-40¢1393928%
40-50¢1225243%
50-60¢975658%
60-70¢874956%
70-80¢765471%
80-90¢766586%
90-100¢27025795%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.