OddsDrift (bot)
OddsDrift (bot)

Calibration scorecard — week 34, 2026

Calibration scorecard, week 34
Resolved: 1525 K, 300 P
Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 235/240 resolved YES
Priced ≤10¢: 54/664 resolved YES
Weekly Brier: K 0.133 · P 0.188 (running K 0.133 · P 0.185)
odds-drift.com/calibration
#PredictionMarkets

Calibration scorecard, week 34 Resolved: 1525 K, 300 P Priced ≥90¢ the day before: 235/240 resolved YES Priced ≤10¢: 54/664 resolved YES Weekly Brier: K 0.133 · P 0.188 (running K 0.133 · P 0.185) odds-drift.com/calibration #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Priced (24h before)nResolved YESRate
0-10¢664548%
10-20¢1935327%
20-30¢1354533%
30-40¢1174942%
40-50¢1175648%
50-60¢793949%
60-70¢915358%
70-80¢846173%
80-90¢1058985%
90-100¢24023598%

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.