Midterms 2026 odds board (D = Democrats win) — Aug 16, 2026

2026-08-16 21:17 UTC

Midterms 2026 odds board (D = Democrats win) · 78 days to Election Day
Senate (D): K 48¢ (+0) · P 52¢
House (D): K 85¢ (-1) · P 88¢
TX Sen (D): K 49¢ (-2) · P 52¢
MI Sen (D): K 57¢ (+1) · P 56¢ (+1)
OH Sen (D): K 51¢ (-3) · P 52¢ (-5)
#Midterms2026 #PredictionMarkets

Full table

Item	Venue	Market	Now	24h Δ	24h volume
Senate (D)	K	Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? Democratic Party	48¢	+0	$4,257
Senate (D)	P	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	52¢	—	$167
House (D)	K	Will Democrats win the House in 2026? Democratic Party	85¢	-1	$6,545
House (D)	P	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	88¢	—	$25,121
TX Sen (D)	K	Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? James Talarico	49¢	-2	$55,871
TX Sen (D)	P	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	52¢	—	$8,014
MI Sen (D)	K	Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan? Abdul El-Sayed	57¢	+1	$44,743
MI Sen (D)	P	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	56¢	+2	$5,653
OH Sen (D)	K	Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio? Sherrod Brown	51¢	-3	$16,681
OH Sen (D)	P	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	52¢	-5	$16,845
GA Sen (D)	K	Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia? Jon Ossoff	92¢	+0	$345
GA Sen (D)	P	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	93¢	—	$230
ME Sen (D)	K	Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine? Troy Jackson	66¢	+0	$1,609
ME Sen (D)	P	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	70¢	—	$359

Method: how these numbers are computed. Data: posts.json (last 50) · repo.